The Metropolis

That LibDem rally? Better do the maths first

Darren Atwater | Monday 19 April, 2010 18:56

●

PolitcoStatics site Five Thirty Eight has taken their patented what do the polls actually mean method to the current Liberal Democrat surge, and it’s not pretty.

If the bounce simply manifests in a massive burst of support in seats that the Lib Dems already hold, along with a few nearby marginals, the end result could be a pickup of a modest 10 to 20 seats. Similarly, if it comes from alienated opposition voters in safe Labour or Tory seats (tactical/protest voters who would not vote Lib Dem over their own party), again the Lib Dem share of MPs will not budge very much.

Filed in:

Snipe Highlights

Some popular articles from past years

  1. Margaret Thatcher statue rejected by public
  2. Peter Bayley has worked for 50 years as a cinema projectionist in East Finchley
  3. Punk brewery just as sexist and homophobic as the industry they rail against
  4. Could red kites be London's next big nature success story?
  5. Only 16 commuters touch in to Emirates Air Line, figures reveal
  6. Nice Interactive timeline lets you follow Londoners' historic fight against racism
  7. Hope and despair in Woolwich town centre
  8. The five spookiest abandoned London hospitals
  9. Summer Camp: Roll out those lazy, hazy, crazy days
  10. Nice map of London's fruit trees shows you where to pick free food